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Forza Innovations Inc (FORZ)·Q3 2020 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2020 (quarter ended March 31, 2020): Revenue rose to $163,782 with Gross Margin of 40% and Gross Profit of $65,724, reflecting capacity expansion at the new Florida facility .
  • Year-to-date Adjusted EBITDA improved to $122,746 despite a YTD net loss of $(172,422), supported by increased fixed assets and machinery investments .
  • Operations focus shifted to automation and capacity, with management setting FY2020 CapEx at approximately $1.00M to acquire state-of-the-art equipment; additionally, a new automated CNC machine tool was ordered and onboarded in September 2020, a near-term catalyst for efficiency and throughput .
  • COVID-19 drove administrative delays and labor/supplier disruptions; the company announced it would rely on SEC relief to file the FY2020 10-K no later than November 20, 2020, flagging reporting risk and funding headwinds .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Q3 revenue and gross profit improved sequentially (Q2→Q3), driven by increasing capacity at the Florida facility; management emphasized production commencement and fixed asset additions supporting growth .
  • YTD Adjusted EBITDA reached $122,746 by March 31, 2020, indicating improving operating leverage excluding non-cash/one-time items .
  • Strategic push into automation and capacity: “increase capacity with acquiring new automated state-of-the-art machines at opportunistic prices,” with FY2020 CapEx set at ~$1M; additional automated CNC machine ordered and onboarded in September to support new R&D customer orders .

What Went Wrong

  • Margin compression Q/Q: Gross Margin fell from 44% in Q2 to 40% in Q3 as the facility ramp entailed onetime costs and operational onboarding effects .
  • YTD net loss of $(172,422) despite positive Adjusted EBITDA underscores reliance on non-GAAP addbacks (stock comp, debt discount amortization, convertible issuance) to present improving profitability trends .
  • COVID-related disruptions and labor constraints led to absenteeism, idle equipment, supplier shutdowns, and delayed financial administration; company extended FY2020 10-K filing to no later than Nov 20, 2020 due to pandemic impact .

Financial Results

Consolidated Financials (Quarterly)

MetricQ1 FY2020 (Sep 30, 2019)Q2 FY2020 (Dec 31, 2019)Q3 FY2020 (Mar 31, 2020)
Revenue ($USD)$140,951 $133,923 $163,782
Gross Profit ($USD)$47,473 $58,597 $65,724
Gross Margin (%)66% 44% 40%
Operating Income (Loss) ($USD)$17,227 $(39,220)
Net Income (Loss) ($USD)$7,481 $(44,371)

Notes: Q3 press release did not disclose quarterly operating income or net income; YTD net loss is provided below .

Year-to-Date (Nine Months Ended March 31, 2020)

MetricNine Months Ended Mar 31, 2020
Revenues ($USD)$438,656
Net Loss ($USD)$(172,422)
EBITDA ($USD)$(101,643)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$122,746

KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights

KPIQ1 FY2020Q2 FY2020Q3 FY2020
EBITDA ($USD)$36,196 $49,971
Total Assets ($USD)$726,348 $733,506 $897,479

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Capital ExpendituresFY2020~$1.00M for automation and new machineryInitiated
Automation Onboarding (CNC machine)Sep 2020Delivery and onboarding completed in SeptemberNew schedule
Annual Report Filing (10-K)FY2020Standard deadlineTo be filed no later than Nov 20, 2020 under SEC COVID reliefDelayed

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q3 FY2020 earnings call transcript was found; trends summarized from press releases and 8-Ks.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 FY2020, Q2 FY2020)Current Period (Q3 FY2020)Trend
Facility ramp and fixed assetsCeased major credit-risk customer; purchased new equipment; production commenced Increased capacity at new Florida facility; fixed assets increased Continuing ramp-up
Gross margin/one-time costsQ1 EBITDA positive; equipment purchases Q2 gross margin 44% with one-time costs for opening facility Margin compressed Q/Q
Automation investmentFY2020 CapEx set at ~$1.00M; automation to reduce payroll/headcount Accelerating automation
Customer mixCeased large customer; gained new customers Focus on diversified customer base and broad capabilities Diversification emphasis
COVID impact: labor/supply chain/adminOne-time disruptions; supplier closures; absenteeism; delayed financial reporting Material operational constraints
Reporting cadenceFY2020 10-K delayed to no later than Nov 20, 2020 Near-term reporting risk

Management Commentary

  • “We are happy to announce that we had positive cash flows and adjusted EBITDA recorded was $122,746 for the nine months ended March 31, 2020… Production activities have commenced, our headcount has also increased out of this new facility… Our Fixed Assets have also increased with the addition of new machinery and equipment” .
  • Q2 operational note: “There were many onetime expenses associated with getting the facility operational including logistics, professional rigging services and new machinery purchases and movement” .
  • Q1 strategic decision: “Cease doing business with a major customer after they became a high credit risk… We have since gained several new customers” .
  • Automation pivot: “We have set 2020 CapEx at around $1M… This will greatly enhance productivity and sales while reducing payroll and headcount… installing robotic equipment capable of automated ‘lights out’ production” .
  • Capacity addition: “Placed a purchase order for an automatic CNC Machine tool… Delivery and onboarding of the machinery will be completed this month” .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q3 FY2020 earnings call transcript found; no Q&A disclosures available in filings or attached exhibits .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 FY2020 EPS and revenue was unavailable for FORZ due to missing CIQ mapping; no estimate comparison can be made. Attempts to retrieve consensus failed, so estimate-based beat/miss analysis is not possible for this quarter.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential improvement in revenue and gross profit in Q3 suggests ramp benefits from the Florida facility despite margin compression Q/Q from 44% to 40% as onboarding costs flowed through .
  • YTD Adjusted EBITDA of $122,746 indicates strengthening underlying profitability excluding non-cash/one-time items, but the YTD net loss of $(172,422) highlights continued GAAP losses .
  • The ~$1.00M FY2020 CapEx and September automation onboarding should reduce labor intensity and improve throughput, potentially supporting margins as automation scales .
  • COVID disruptions and the delayed FY2020 10-K filing introduce near-term reporting and funding risks; investors should monitor filing timelines and any capital needs disclosures .
  • Customer diversification continues post-exit from a high credit-risk account; the broadened base and automation push may mitigate volatility in order timing .
  • With no available Street consensus, the narrative and execution on automation, capacity, and margin stabilization are the primary drivers for near-term stock reactions and positioning.
  • Focus on upcoming filings and any disclosures around backlog, order deferrals, and workforce automation progress to reassess trajectory and margin recovery potential .

Appendix: Source Documents

  • Q3 FY2020 8-K 2.02 press release (quarter ended March 31, 2020) .
  • Q2 FY2020 8-K 2.02 press release (quarter ended December 31, 2019) .
  • Q1 FY2020 8-K 2.02 press release (quarter ended September 30, 2019) .
  • FY2020 10-K delay and COVID risk factor (Other Events) .
  • FY2020 CapEx and automation strategy (press release attached to 8-K) .
  • CNC automation onboarding (press release attached to 8-K) .